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Let us consider a number <math>n</math> of individuals including people who report Orofacial Pain who generally have bone degeneration of the Temporomandibular Joint. However, there may also be other apparently unrelated causes. We must mathematically translate the 'relevance' that these causal uncertainties have in determining a diagnosis.
 
Let us consider a number <math>n</math> of individuals including people who report Orofacial Pain who generally have bone degeneration of the Temporomandibular Joint. However, there may also be other apparently unrelated causes. We must mathematically translate the 'relevance' that these causal uncertainties have in determining a diagnosis.
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===The casual relevance===
 
To do this we consider the degree of causal relevance <math>(cr)</math> of an event <math>E_1</math> with respect to an event <math>E_2</math> where:
 
To do this we consider the degree of causal relevance <math>(cr)</math> of an event <math>E_1</math> with respect to an event <math>E_2</math> where:
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We will use the conditional probability <math>P(A \mid B)</math>, that is the probability that the <math>A</math> event occurs only after the event <math>B</math> has already occurred.
 
We will use the conditional probability <math>P(A \mid B)</math>, that is the probability that the <math>A</math> event occurs only after the event <math>B</math> has already occurred.
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With these premises the causal relevance of the sample <math>n</math> of patients is:
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With these premises the causal relevance <math>rc</math> of the sample <math>n</math> of patients is:
    
<math>rc=P(E_2 \mid E_1)- P(E_2 \mid E_3)</math>
 
<math>rc=P(E_2 \mid E_1)- P(E_2 \mid E_3)</math>
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